I may have taken a fat L last night in a game that looked good through half of it, but I'm back at it today ready to right this ship after a slight bump in the road. I have three fantastic picks that I feel very confident in, and, after some quick explanations, hopefully you will too!
MLB
Red Sox Game #2 ML -110
You are going to see a lot of these plays if you keep following me, and this will be the first of many! I've noticed that more often than not, teams split double-headers, especially if they are very close in skill level. Say there is a complete mismatch - like Giants vs. Orioles, for example - then I would stay away, but that doesn't apply to a Red Sox vs. Yankees matchup.
Pitching wise, the Red Sox are sending out Nathan Eovaldi, who has kept the Yankees in check this year allowing only five runs over four games.
As for the bigger picture, Boston is 10-3 straight up against New York on the season. So, if a team has had this much dominance over another team in a year, I have trouble believing the latter can take two in a day.
The Yanks also haven't swept a double header all year.
Athletics ML -110
This spot must look very familiar!
Despite the loss last night, I felt like I had to run it back considering some of the mismatches that I went over last night are still in play.
The White Sox are 7-16 in games where they are underdogs! Two out of three times where this happens, Chicago will lose! That ended up happening last night, and I simply cannot envision it happening again (or I'd just be very unlucky, we'll see).
To spice up the pot even more, Chris Bassitt is on the mound for Oakland tonight, and he is 11-3 in his away starts this year. Additionally, as I said last night, Chicago does not love right-handed pitchers, so I see Bassitt having a field day with this lineup.
As for the White Sox, they will seemingly be throwing a bullpen game, sending out Reynaldo Lopez to start this one. He has been a reliever all year, and I don't believe he will throw more than three innings (if he even gets there). Bullpen games don't tend to work well, but I guess the Sox are just *that* confident in their back half of Kopech, Kimbrel and Hendriks that they believe if they get through five innings, they will be able to put it away.
I just don't think Chicago will be in the position to "put it away."
Rockies ML -110
I don't normally pick a mediocre squad to take down a powerhouse, but things just seemed to fall into place for this matchup in favor or the Rockies.
First of all, Colorado's home/road split is insane! How a team is so dominant at home (39-21) and so dreadful on the road (14-45) is unbelievable!
Luckily, the Rockies are home today, so that will be working in my favor. If that didn't tickle your fancy, Matt Strahm - a lefty with a 8.44 ERA - is pitching for the Padres today, and the Rockies are 21-16 against left-handers (not fantastic, but it's much better than 32-50 against righties).
If that didn't convince you to stop reading and bet on this game already, the Rockies are 19-7 in games where they are favored. So basically, when they are supposed to win, they usually win.
And if THAT didn't make you want to gamble your house on this game, maybe this will: German Marquez, the Rockies' ace, is on the mound tonight and he has won eight of his last nine home starts with two of those being against the Padres. San Diego doesn't love righties as well.
All that's left to do is place some bets, turn on your TVs, maybe crack open a beer and watch some money roll in! Let's have a Wednesday!
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